Morning Toast 10 Oct
Investors' attention is directed toward the unfolding situation of conflict in Israel and Gaza, with the potential to induce fluctuations in worldwide stock markets and oil prices, contingent upon the intensity of the conflict's escalation. Last night, US oil futures surged by as much as 5.4%. Additionally, in the coming week, the release of the consumer price index report will provide an update on the Federal Reserve's efforts to combat inflation.
Key Highlights to Monitor: PepsiCo Earnings, Small Business Confidence, and Fed Speakers
Stocks rebounded on Monday, recovering earlier losses amidst escalating Middle East tensions. This week holds significance with the release of two pivotal inflation reports, which could sway the Federal Reserve's upcoming interest rate decision. The Fed has been closely tracking job and inflation data to gauge the effectiveness of its policies in curbing inflation while aiming to return it to its 2% annual target.
Later this week, we anticipate the release of producer and consumer price data for September, along with the University of Michigan's consumer sentiment index.
The futures market currently indicates a low probability of the Fed raising rates at its upcoming November meeting, as most traders believe the Fed will maintain its pause. Wednesday will see the release of minutes from the Fed's last September meeting, offering insights into policymakers' views on rates for the remainder of the year.
Earnings reports from major banks, starting with JPMorgan Chase (NYSE:JPM) later this week, will provide valuable insights into the economy. Executives are expected to provide updates on consumer credit and spending trends.
Here are three key factors to watch in the markets tomorrow:
PepsiCo Inc (NASDAQ:PEP), the beverage and snack giant, is expected to announce earnings per share of $2.15, with revenue of $23.4 billion.
Small Business Confidence:
The NFIB small business sentiment index for September will be released at 6:00 ET (10:00 GMT). Analysts anticipate a reading of 91.4, a slight improvement from the previous reading of 91.3.
On Tuesday, several Fed officials are scheduled to speak, including Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic, Governor Christopher Waller, Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari, and San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly.
Bank of America (BofA) Identifies Significant Growth Potential for Motorola Solutions
In a recent note, analysts at Bank of America (BofA) initiated coverage of Motorola Solutions (NYSE:MSI) with a Buy rating and set a price target of $330.
According to the research note, BofA analysts believe that Motorola Solutions is poised for substantial growth over multiple years, particularly in the realm of public and enterprise safety. They view MSI as being strongly positioned, benefiting from various favourable factors driving growth. The company's strategic focus on public safety and enterprise security is expected to result in robust pricing power and favourable funding opportunities, buoyed by the American Rescue Plan Act (ARPA), which is contributing to a sustainable order pipeline.
Moreover, BofA is optimistic about the potential for multi-year growth in Motorola's video security segment. In 2022, the video security segment saw a remarkable 24% year-over-year growth, primarily attributed to a 28% surge in software revenue within the segment. The analysts anticipate that software will continue to play a pivotal role, making up 20% of total revenue for video security by 2025. This transformation is seen as a significant driver for both revenue and margin growth, ultimately fostering robust earnings expansion for Motorola Solutions.
The European Union (EU) has officially initiated the inaugural phase of its Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM), marking it as the world's inaugural carbon tariff.
This first phase of the CBAM is directed at imports of emissions-intensive products, encompassing iron, steel, cement, aluminium, electricity, fertilizers, and hydrogen. If the imported materials in these categories exhibit a higher carbon intensity (meaning higher associated emissions in their production) compared to similar products within the EU, importers will be required to purchase certificates from the European Emissions Trading System (ETS) to offset the surplus emissions.
The CBAM has the potential to eventually encompass approximately 2.5% of global emissions and generate over $80 billion annually by 2040. The initial phase, effective as of October 1st, necessitates that EU importers commence the collection of data concerning embedded emissions and submit their reports by January 31st, 2024. Companies failing to comply could face fines of up to 50 euros per ton of CO2.
However, the actual payment of the tariff by companies is not expected to commence until 2026. These payments will align with the fees paid by EU companies under the EU's Emissions Trading System (ETS). The overarching objective is to place non-EU producers on a level playing field with their EU counterparts, thereby incentivizing them to adopt decarbonization measures and mitigating the risk of "carbon leakage," where EU companies relocate their operations to regions with less stringent emissions regulations.
Quote Of The Day
“No matter how complex global problems may seem, it is we ourselves who have given rise to them. They cannot be beyond our power to resolve.” – Kofi Annan
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